Senegal vs Mali prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Our pick Strong
Under 3.5 Goals
79.0%
xG
1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.5
42%
Both score
46%
Form
Full stats →
SenegalWLWLL
MaliLDLDDMatch analysis
Model generatedSenegal favoured at 49%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.45 goals for Senegal and 0.89 for Mali, giving 49% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.45 - 0.89
- Clean sheet chance: Senegal 41%, Mali 23%
Match result
1X2Senegal49.4%
Draw28.2%
Mali22.4%
Model rating
All ratings →6.0
Senegal
Above average
5.6
Mali
Above average
SenegalLast 10 gamesMali1.30Points per game1.20
1.8Goals scored per game1.0
1.6Goals conceded per game0.9
70%Over 2.5 goals20%
50%Both teams scored50%
40%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Senegal
4
Draws
0
Mali
- 9 Jan 26Mali 0-1 Senegal
- 26 Mar 19Senegal 2-1 Mali
- 5 Mar 14Mali 1-1 Senegal
- 17 Nov 07Senegal 3-2 Mali
- 8 Oct 05Senegal 3-0 Mali