Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.8 – 1.3
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
61%
The model projects 1.76 goals for Sweden and 1.29 for Poland, giving 48% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Sweden
Above average
Poland
Average
8
Sweden
1
Draws
1
Poland