Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.3 – 0.8
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
49%
The model projects 2.30 goals for Germany and 0.78 for Serbia, giving 71% for the home win, 19% for the draw and 10% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Germany
Above average
Serbia
Average
3
Germany
2
Draws
1
Serbia