Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
44%
The model projects 1.75 goals for Azerbaijan and 0.75 for Liechtenstein, giving 60% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 15% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Azerbaijan
Average
Liechtenstein
Average
3
Azerbaijan
2
Draws
1
Liechtenstein