Senegal vs Mali prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
76.5%
xG
1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →
SenegalWLWLL
MaliLDLDDMatch analysis
Model generatedSenegal favoured at 61%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.89 goals for Senegal and 0.85 for Mali, giving 61% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 16% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.89 - 0.85
- Clean sheet chance: Senegal 43%, Mali 15%
Match result
1X2Senegal61.1%
Draw23.1%
Mali15.8%
Model rating
All ratings →6.0
Senegal
Above average
5.6
Mali
Above average
SenegalLast 10 gamesMali1.30Points per game1.20
1.8Goals scored per game1.0
1.6Goals conceded per game0.9
70%Over 2.5 goals20%
50%Both teams scored50%
40%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Senegal
4
Draws
0
Mali
- 9 Jan 26Mali 0-1 Senegal
- 26 Mar 19Senegal 2-1 Mali
- 5 Mar 14Mali 1-1 Senegal
- 17 Nov 07Senegal 3-2 Mali
- 8 Oct 05Senegal 3-0 Mali