Germany vs Ecuador prediction, FIFA World Cup
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
78.2%
xG
1.4 – 0.8
Over 2.5
39%
Both score
44%
Form
Full stats →
GermanyDWLDD
EcuadorLLWDLMatch analysis
Model generatedGermany favoured at 49%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.39 goals for Germany and 0.85 for Ecuador, giving 49% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.39 - 0.85
- Clean sheet chance: Germany 43%, Ecuador 25%
Match result
1X2Germany48.8%
Draw29.4%
Ecuador21.8%
Model rating
All ratings →5.6
Germany
Above average
5.7
Ecuador
Above average
GermanyLast 10 gamesEcuador1.80Points per game1.50
2.0Goals scored per game1.1
0.8Goals conceded per game1.0
50%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored40%
30%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 4 meetings3
Germany
0
Draws
1
Ecuador
- 25 Jun 26Ecuador 2-1 Germany
- 29 May 13Ecuador 2-4 Germany
- 20 Jun 06Ecuador 0-3 Germany
- 20 Jun 06Germany 3-0 Ecuador