Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
60%
The model projects 1.79 goals for Germany and 1.23 for Netherlands, giving 50% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 25% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Germany
Above average
Netherlands
Above average
3
Germany
5
Draws
2
Netherlands