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Senegal vs Kenya prediction, Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of NationsFull time

Senegal

3-0

Fri, 30 Jan

Kenya

Model's readBizerte
1 58%X 24%2 18%

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

76.1%

xG

1.8 – 0.9

Over 2.5

51%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →
SenegalWLWLL
KenyaDWDWD

Match analysis

Model generated

Senegal favoured at 58%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.82 goals for Senegal and 0.90 for Kenya, giving 58% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
  • Expected goals: 1.82 - 0.90
  • Clean sheet chance: Senegal 41%, Kenya 16%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Senegal v Kenya

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Senegal58.5%
Draw24.0%
Kenya17.5%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.0

Senegal

Above average

5.7

Kenya

Above average

SenegalLast 10 gamesKenya
1.30Points per game1.20
1.8Goals scored per game1.0
1.6Goals conceded per game2.2
70%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored20%
40%Clean sheets40%
20%Failed to score50%

Recent results

SenegalWLWLL
  • 4 OctAComoros1-0
  • 1 JulABelgium2-3
  • 26 JunHIraq5-0
  • 22 JunANorway2-3
  • 16 JunAFrance1-3
  • 9 JunASaudi Arabia0-0
KenyaDWDWD
  • 5 OctARwanda0-0
  • 7 JunHLesotho4-0
  • 4 JunALesotho1-1
  • 30 MarAGrenada3-0
  • 27 MarHEstonia1-1
  • 18 NovASenegal0-8

Head to head

Last 6 meetings

5

Senegal

1

Draws

0

Kenya

  • 18 Nov 25Senegal 8-0 Kenya
  • 18 Nov 25Kenya 0-8 Senegal
  • 1 Jul 19Kenya 0-3 Senegal
  • 30 Jan 04Senegal 3-0 Kenya
  • 16 Jan 92Senegal 3-0 Kenya
Every meeting between these two →