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Tajikistan vs Azerbaijan prediction, International Friendlies

International FriendliesFull time

Tajikistan

2-3

Wed, 22 Aug

Azerbaijan

Model's readDushanbe
1 42%X 29%2 30%

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

75.7%

xG

1.4 – 1.1

Over 2.5

46%

Both score

51%

Form

Full stats →
TajikistanWLLDW
AzerbaijanWDDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Tajikistan favoured at 42%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.38 goals for Tajikistan and 1.12 for Azerbaijan, giving 42% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 30% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 1.38 - 1.12
  • Clean sheet chance: Tajikistan 33%, Azerbaijan 25%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Tajikistan v Azerbaijan

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Tajikistan41.7%
Draw28.8%
Azerbaijan29.5%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.4

Tajikistan

Average

4.9

Azerbaijan

Average

TajikistanLast 10 gamesAzerbaijan
1.70Points per game1.50
1.6Goals scored per game1.3
1.4Goals conceded per game1.1
60%Over 2.5 goals30%
50%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets30%
30%Failed to score30%

Recent results

TajikistanWLLDW
  • 6 OctAChina1-0
  • 28 SeptHPalestine2-4
  • 23 SeptAAzerbaijan0-1
  • 9 JunHIndia1-1
  • 5 JunHIndia3-1
  • 5 JunACambodia2-1
AzerbaijanWDDWW
  • 4 OctHLithuania1-0
  • 1 OctHLiechtenstein0-0
  • 27 SeptALithuania1-1
  • 23 SeptHTajikistan1-0
  • 9 JunHSan Marino2-1
  • 5 JunHMalta0-2

Head to head

Last 3 meetings

0

Tajikistan

0

Draws

3

Azerbaijan

  • 23 Sept 26Azerbaijan 1-0 Tajikistan
  • 22 Aug 07Tajikistan 2-3 Azerbaijan
  • 6 Jun 93Azerbaijan 2-0 Tajikistan
Every meeting between these two →