Luxembourg vs Bulgaria prediction, UEFA European Championship Qualifying
Luxembourg
0-1
Bulgaria
Model's readLuxembourg
1 38%X 29%2 33%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
74.8%
xG
1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →
LuxembourgLLLWW
BulgariaWLDLDMatch analysis
Model generatedLuxembourg favoured at 38%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.33 goals for Luxembourg and 1.21 for Bulgaria, giving 38% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 33% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.33 - 1.21
- Clean sheet chance: Luxembourg 30%, Bulgaria 26%
Match result
1X2Luxembourg38.3%
Draw28.9%
Bulgaria32.8%
Model rating
All ratings →4.9
Luxembourg
Average
5.1
Bulgaria
Average
LuxembourgLast 10 gamesBulgaria1.20Points per game1.40
0.8Goals scored per game1.8
1.0Goals conceded per game1.3
30%Over 2.5 goals50%
10%Both teams scored40%
30%Clean sheets30%
60%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Luxembourg
3
Draws
6
Bulgaria
- 6 Oct 26Luxembourg 0-2 Bulgaria
- 26 Sept 26Bulgaria 1-2 Luxembourg
- 15 Nov 24Luxembourg 0-1 Bulgaria
- 12 Oct 24Bulgaria 0-0 Luxembourg
- 20 Nov 22Luxembourg 0-0 Bulgaria