Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.5
42%
Both score
48%
The model projects 1.40 goals for Germany and 0.97 for Greece, giving 46% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 25% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Germany
Above average
Greece
Above average
4
Germany
1
Draws
1
Greece