Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.5 – 0.8
Over 2.5
40%
Both score
44%
The model's strongest pick is Albania or a draw at 80%, against a 69% norm for this competition. That gap matters more than the raw figure. Albania are projected at 1.45 goals to Luxembourg's 0.83, and the home win comes out at 51%.
Albania
Above average
Luxembourg
Average
4
Albania
1
Draws
3
Luxembourg