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Mauritania vs Burundi prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Africa Cup of Nations QualifyingFull time

Mauritania

2-1

Sat, 13 Oct

Burundi

Model's readNouakchott
1 54%X 27%2 19%

Our pick ★ Strong

Under 3.5 Goals

79.2%

xG

1.5 – 0.8

Over 2.5

41%

Both score

44%

Form

Full stats →
MauritaniaWWDLL
BurundiLLLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Mauritania favoured at 54%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.54 goals for Mauritania and 0.80 for Burundi, giving 54% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 19% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 1.54 - 0.80
  • Clean sheet chance: Mauritania 45%, Burundi 22%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Mauritania v Burundi

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Mauritania54.1%
Draw27.2%
Burundi18.7%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.7

Mauritania

Above average

5.0

Burundi

Average

MauritaniaLast 10 gamesBurundi
1.30Points per game0.70
0.7Goals scored per game0.6
0.9Goals conceded per game1.3
20%Over 2.5 goals20%
30%Both teams scored0%
50%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score80%

Recent results

MauritaniaWWDLL
  • 8 JunANiger1-0
  • 8 JunHNiger1-0
  • 5 JunAAngola1-1
  • 27 MarAArgentina1-2
  • 15 NovALibya0-1
  • 12 NovATunisia1-1
BurundiLLLLL
  • 26 MayAMorocco0-5
  • 14 OctAGabon0-2
  • 9 OctHKenya0-1
  • 9 SeptAGambia0-2
  • 5 SeptAIvory Coast0-1
  • 10 JunHMauritania0-0

Head to head

Last 5 meetings

1

Mauritania

2

Draws

2

Burundi

  • 10 Jun 25Burundi 0-0 Mauritania
  • 15 Nov 20Burundi 3-1 Mauritania
  • 11 Nov 20Mauritania 1-1 Burundi
  • 13 Oct 07Mauritania 2-1 Burundi
  • 8 Oct 06Burundi 3-1 Mauritania
Every meeting between these two →