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Burundi vs Kenya prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF

World Cup Qualifying CAF · Round 9Full time

Burundi

0-1

Thu, 9 Oct

Kenya

Model's readBujumbura
1 38%X 28%2 34%

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

73.7%

xG

1.3 – 1.3

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →
BurundiLLLLL
KenyaDWDWD

Match analysis

Enhanced

Burundi slight favourites, but it is close

The model makes Burundi slight favourites at 38%, with Kenya at 34% and a draw at 28%. Expected goals are 1.33 for Burundi and 1.25 for Kenya, so the margin is narrow. Burundi have failed to score in their last six, a form the model partly prices in through recency weighting.

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Burundi v Kenya

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Burundi37.9%
Draw28.0%
Kenya34.1%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.0

Burundi

Average

5.7

Kenya

Above average

BurundiLast 10 gamesKenya
0.70Points per game1.20
0.6Goals scored per game1.0
1.3Goals conceded per game2.2
20%Over 2.5 goals50%
0%Both teams scored20%
30%Clean sheets40%
80%Failed to score50%

Recent results

BurundiLLLLL
  • 26 MayAMorocco0-5
  • 14 OctAGabon0-2
  • 9 OctHKenya0-1
  • 9 SeptAGambia0-2
  • 5 SeptAIvory Coast0-1
  • 10 JunHMauritania0-0
KenyaDWDWD
  • 5 OctARwanda0-0
  • 7 JunHLesotho4-0
  • 4 JunALesotho1-1
  • 30 MarAGrenada3-0
  • 27 MarHEstonia1-1
  • 18 NovASenegal0-8

Head to head

Last 5 meetings

1

Burundi

2

Draws

2

Kenya

  • 9 Oct 25Burundi 0-1 Kenya
  • 7 Jun 24Kenya 1-1 Burundi
  • 15 Jul 14Kenya 0-0 Burundi
  • 3 Oct 00Kenya 2-3 Burundi
  • 30 Sept 00Kenya 1-0 Burundi
Every meeting between these two →