Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
56%
The model's strongest read is Over 1.5 goals at 80%, against a 70% norm in this competition, so the gap matters more than the raw figure. Gabon are the favourites at 56% to win, with 1.87 expected goals against Burundi's 1.06. Burundi have failed to score in their last 6 matches.
Gabon
Average
Burundi
Average
3
Gabon
3
Draws
1
Burundi