Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.2 – 1.7
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
59%
The model projects 1.23 goals for Kenya and 1.71 for Senegal, giving 27% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 48% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Kenya
Above average
Senegal
Above average
0
Kenya
1
Draws
5
Senegal