Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.2 – 1.0
Over 2.5
37%
Both score
45%
Away or Draw (X2) is the model's strongest read, at 62% against a 52% norm for this competition. Luxembourg are still the single most likely winner at 38%, but the game projects tight at 1.16 to 1.02 expected goals. A lean, not a certainty.
Luxembourg
Average
Estonia
Average
0
Luxembourg
1
Draws
3
Estonia