Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction, UEFA Champions League
Manchester City
1-0
Paris Saint-Germain
Model's read
1 32%X 23%2 45%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
68.0%
xG
1.5 – 1.8
Over 2.5
63%
Both score
64%
Form
Full stats →Manchester CityWWWWWParis Saint-GermainWWWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedParis Saint-Germain favoured at 45%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.47 goals for Manchester City and 1.79 for Paris Saint-Germain, giving 32% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 45% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 1.47 - 1.79
- Clean sheet chance: Manchester City 17%, Paris Saint-Germain 23%
Match result
1X2Manchester City32.0%
Draw22.7%
Paris Saint-Germain45.4%
Manchester CityLast 10 gamesParis Saint-Germain2.50Points per game1.80
2.3Goals scored per game2.1
0.8Goals conceded per game1.2
50%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored80%
50%Clean sheets20%
0%Failed to score0%
Recent results
UEFA Champions League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  Stuttgart | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Lens | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Liverpool | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Real Madrid | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Arsenal | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Villarreal | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |  Lille | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Atlético Madrid | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Porto | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 7 meetings4
Manchester City
1
Draws
2
Paris Saint-Germain
- 22 Jan 25Paris Saint-Germain 4-2 Manchester City
- 24 Nov 21Manchester City 2-1 Paris Saint-Germain
- 28 Sept 21Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Manchester City
- 4 May 21Manchester City 2-0 Paris Saint-Germain
- 28 Apr 21Paris Saint-Germain 1-2 Manchester City