Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.5
48%
Both score
52%
The model's strongest read is Home or Draw for Bulgaria at 76%, well above the 69% norm for this competition. It rates Bulgaria at 1.55 expected goals against Luxembourg's 1.04, with a 48% home win. Luxembourg have failed to score in 4 of their last 6.
Bulgaria
Average
Luxembourg
Average
6
Bulgaria
3
Draws
1
Luxembourg