South Africa vs Mexico prediction, FIFA World Cup
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
69.9%
xG
0.9 – 1.1
Over 2.5
33%
Both score
42%
Form
Full stats →
South AfricaWLWDL
MexicoLLDDLMatch analysis
Model generatedMexico favoured at 37%, in a tight game
The model projects 0.95 goals for South Africa and 1.09 for Mexico, giving 30% for the home win, 33% for the draw and 37% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 15%
- Expected goals: 0.95 - 1.09
- Clean sheet chance: South Africa 34%, Mexico 39%
Match result
1X2South Africa30.1%
Draw32.6%
Mexico37.3%
Model rating
All ratings →5.8
South Africa
Above average
5.3
Mexico
Average
South AfricaLast 10 gamesMexico1.20Points per game1.70
0.7Goals scored per game1.5
0.9Goals conceded per game1.0
20%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Both teams scored30%
40%Clean sheets50%
30%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 4 meetings1
South Africa
1
Draws
2
Mexico
- 11 Jun 26Mexico 2-0 South Africa
- 11 Jun 10South Africa 1-1 Mexico
- 8 Jul 05South Africa 2-1 Mexico
- 6 Oct 93Mexico 4-0 South Africa