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Lesotho vs Nigeria prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Africa Cup of Nations QualifyingFull time

Lesotho

2-4

Sun, 17 Nov

Nigeria

Model's readMaseru
1 18%X 23%2 59%

Our pick

Away Win

59.1%

xG

1.0 – 1.9

Over 2.5

56%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →
LesothoLDLDW
NigeriaDLDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Nigeria favoured at 59%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 0.98 goals for Lesotho and 1.94 for Nigeria, giving 18% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 59% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
  • Expected goals: 0.98 - 1.94
  • Clean sheet chance: Lesotho 14%, Nigeria 37%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Lesotho v Nigeria

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Lesotho18.0%
Draw22.9%
Nigeria59.1%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.0

Lesotho

Average

5.9

Nigeria

Above average

LesothoLast 10 gamesNigeria
0.60Points per game1.50
0.4Goals scored per game1.5
1.9Goals conceded per game1.0
50%Over 2.5 goals60%
30%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets50%
60%Failed to score30%

Recent results

LesothoLDLDW
  • 7 JunAKenya0-4
  • 4 JunHKenya1-1
  • 18 NovHMalawi0-1
  • 15 NovHMalawi0-0
  • 13 OctHZimbabwe1-0
  • 10 OctHNigeria1-2
NigeriaDLDWW
  • 6 OctARussia3-3
  • 10 JunAPortugal1-2
  • 3 JunAPoland2-2
  • 30 MayAJamaica3-0
  • 26 MayHZimbabwe2-0
  • 31 MarAJordan2-2

Head to head

Last 6 meetings

0

Lesotho

1

Draws

5

Nigeria

  • 10 Oct 25Lesotho 1-2 Nigeria
  • 16 Nov 23Nigeria 1-1 Lesotho
  • 30 Mar 21Nigeria 3-0 Lesotho
  • 17 Nov 19Lesotho 2-4 Nigeria
  • 8 Sept 07Nigeria 2-0 Lesotho
Every meeting between these two →