Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
53%
The model's strongest read is Home or Draw, at 79% against a 72% norm in this competition. That gap matters more than the raw figure. Japan are rated 20th and Iceland 40th of 219 sides, and the model gives Japan 53% to win outright.
Japan
Above average
Iceland
Above average
3
Japan
0
Draws
0
Iceland