Arsenal vs Napoli prediction, UEFA Champions League
Our pick
Home Win
71.5%
xG
2.1 – 0.7
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
43%
Form
Full stats →
ArsenalWLWWW
NapoliWDWLLMatch analysis
Model generatedArsenal favoured at 71%, in a middling game
The model projects 2.14 goals for Arsenal and 0.67 for Napoli, giving 71% for the home win, 18% for the draw and 10% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 14%
- Expected goals: 2.14 - 0.67
- Clean sheet chance: Arsenal 51%, Napoli 12%
Match result
1X2Arsenal71.5%
Draw18.1%
Napoli10.4%
ArsenalLast 10 gamesNapoli2.50Points per game1.60
1.8Goals scored per game1.6
0.9Goals conceded per game1.0
60%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored40%
40%Clean sheets50%
10%Failed to score10%
Recent results
UEFA Champions League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  Stuttgart | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Lens | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Liverpool | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Real Madrid | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Villarreal | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |  Lille | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Atlético Madrid | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Porto | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 3 meetings2
Arsenal
0
Draws
1
Napoli
- 9 Sept 26Napoli 0-1 Arsenal
- 11 Dec 13Napoli 2-0 Arsenal
- 1 Oct 13Arsenal 2-0 Napoli