Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
0.9 – 1.4
Over 2.5
42%
Both score
47%
The model projects 0.93 goals for Mali and 1.44 for Morocco, giving 23% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 48% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Mali
Above average
Morocco
Above average
4
Mali
3
Draws
3
Morocco