Greece vs Sweden prediction, UEFA European Championship
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
75.2%
xG
1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →
GreeceDDWWL
SwedenWDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedGreece favoured at 36%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.28 goals for Greece and 1.24 for Sweden, giving 36% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 35% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.28 - 1.24
- Clean sheet chance: Greece 29%, Sweden 28%
Match result
1X2Greece36.3%
Draw29.1%
Sweden34.5%
Model rating
All ratings →6.5
Greece
Above average
6.6
Sweden
Above average
GreeceLast 10 gamesSweden1.40Points per game1.50
1.0Goals scored per game1.7
0.9Goals conceded per game1.8
40%Over 2.5 goals70%
40%Both teams scored80%
40%Clean sheets10%
50%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 7 meetings2
Greece
3
Draws
2
Sweden
- 4 Jun 26Sweden 2-2 Greece
- 12 Oct 21Sweden 2-0 Greece
- 8 Sept 21Greece 2-1 Sweden
- 10 Jun 08Greece 0-2 Sweden
- 20 Aug 03Sweden 1-2 Greece