Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
49%
The model projects 1.61 goals for Germany and 0.92 for Paraguay, giving 53% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Germany
Above average
Paraguay
Above average
1
Germany
2
Draws
0
Paraguay