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Bulgaria vs Luxembourg prediction, UEFA European Championship Qualifying

UEFA European Championship QualifyingFull time

Bulgaria

3-0

Sat, 9 Oct

Luxembourg

Model's readSofia
1 48%X 28%2 24%

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

75.6%

xG

1.5 – 1.0

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

52%

Form

Full stats →
BulgariaWLDLD
LuxembourgLLLWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Bulgaria favoured at 48%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.55 goals for Bulgaria and 1.04 for Luxembourg, giving 48% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.55 - 1.04
  • Clean sheet chance: Bulgaria 35%, Luxembourg 21%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Bulgaria v Luxembourg

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Bulgaria47.9%
Draw27.7%
Luxembourg24.4%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.1

Bulgaria

Average

4.9

Luxembourg

Average

BulgariaLast 10 gamesLuxembourg
1.40Points per game1.20
1.8Goals scored per game0.8
1.3Goals conceded per game1.0
50%Over 2.5 goals30%
40%Both teams scored10%
30%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score60%

Recent results

BulgariaWLDLD
  • 6 OctALuxembourg2-0
  • 3 OctAIceland0-3
  • 29 SeptHEstonia0-0
  • 26 SeptHLuxembourg1-2
  • 5 JunAMoldova2-2
  • 1 JunHMontenegro0-1
LuxembourgLLLWW
  • 6 OctHBulgaria0-2
  • 3 OctAEstonia0-1
  • 29 SeptHIceland0-3
  • 26 SeptABulgaria2-1
  • 6 JunAAlbania1-0
  • 3 JunHItaly0-1

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

6

Bulgaria

3

Draws

1

Luxembourg

  • 6 Oct 26Luxembourg 0-2 Bulgaria
  • 26 Sept 26Bulgaria 1-2 Luxembourg
  • 15 Nov 24Luxembourg 0-1 Bulgaria
  • 12 Oct 24Bulgaria 0-0 Luxembourg
  • 20 Nov 22Luxembourg 0-0 Bulgaria
Every meeting between these two →