Real Madrid vs Roma prediction, UEFA Champions League
Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
77.7%
xG
2.0 – 1.2
Over 2.5
62%
Both score
60%
Form
Full stats →
Real MadridWLWWW
RomaDWDWWMatch analysis
Model generatedReal Madrid favoured at 56%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.00 goals for Real Madrid and 1.18 for Roma, giving 56% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 2.00 - 1.18
- Clean sheet chance: Real Madrid 31%, Roma 14%
Match result
1X2Real Madrid56.4%
Draw21.4%
Roma22.3%
Real MadridLast 10 gamesRoma2.40Points per game2.60
2.5Goals scored per game2.6
1.1Goals conceded per game0.6
80%Over 2.5 goals60%
70%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets60%
10%Failed to score0%
Recent results
UEFA Champions League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  Stuttgart | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Lens | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Liverpool | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Madrid | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Arsenal | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 | Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Villarreal | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |  Lille | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Atlético Madrid | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Porto | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 4 meetings4
Real Madrid
0
Draws
0
Roma
- 27 Nov 18Roma 0-2 Real Madrid
- 19 Sept 18Real Madrid 3-0 Roma
- 8 Mar 16Real Madrid 2-0 Roma
- 17 Feb 16Roma 0-2 Real Madrid