Wales vs Northern Ireland prediction, UEFA European Championship
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
65.7%
xG
1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.5
37%
Both score
45%
Form
Full stats →
WalesLWLLL
Northern IrelandLWDLWMatch analysis
Model generatedWales favoured at 34%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.09 goals for Wales and 1.08 for Northern Ireland, giving 34% for the home win, 32% for the draw and 34% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 15%
- Expected goals: 1.09 - 1.08
- Clean sheet chance: Wales 34%, Northern Ireland 34%
Match result
1X2Wales34.3%
Draw31.8%
Northern Ireland33.9%
Model rating
All ratings →5.4
Wales
Average
5.4
Northern Ireland
Average
WalesLast 10 gamesNorthern Ireland1.00Points per game1.30
1.4Goals scored per game1.0
1.2Goals conceded per game1.2
30%Over 2.5 goals30%
70%Both teams scored40%
0%Clean sheets30%
30%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 6 meetings2
Wales
4
Draws
0
Northern Ireland
- 31 Mar 26Wales 1-1 Northern Ireland
- 25 Jun 16Wales 1-0 Northern Ireland
- 24 Mar 16Wales 1-1 Northern Ireland
- 6 Feb 07Northern Ireland 0-0 Wales
- 8 Oct 05Northern Ireland 2-3 Wales