Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.3 – 0.8
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
50%
The model makes France the clear favourite, with a 70% home win against a 48% norm for this competition. Expected goals are 2.26 for France and 0.80 for Northern Ireland, and over 2.5 goals sits at 59%. These are model estimates, not guarantees.
France
Above average
Northern Ireland
Average
3
France
0
Draws
0
Northern Ireland