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Ecuador vs Germany prediction, FIFA World Cup

FIFA World Cup · Matchday 12Full time

Ecuador

0-3

Tue, 20 Jun

Germany

Model's read
1 22%X 29%2 49%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

78.2%

xG

0.8 – 1.4

Over 2.5

39%

Both score

44%

Form

Full stats →
EcuadorLLWDL
GermanyDWLDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Germany favoured at 49%, in a middling game

The model projects 0.85 goals for Ecuador and 1.39 for Germany, giving 22% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 49% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 0.85 - 1.39
  • Clean sheet chance: Ecuador 25%, Germany 43%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Ecuador v Germany

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Ecuador21.8%
Draw29.4%
Germany48.8%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.7

Ecuador

Above average

5.6

Germany

Above average

EcuadorLast 10 gamesGermany
1.50Points per game1.80
1.1Goals scored per game2.0
1.0Goals conceded per game0.8
40%Over 2.5 goals50%
40%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score20%

Recent results

EcuadorLLWDL
  • 24 SeptASouth Korea0-3
  • 30 JunAMexico0-2
  • 25 JunHGermany2-1
  • 20 JunHCuraçao0-0
  • 14 JunAIvory Coast0-1
  • 7 JunHGuatemala3-0
GermanyDWLDD
  • 4 OctAGreece0-0
  • 1 OctHSerbia2-0
  • 27 SeptHGreece0-1
  • 24 SeptANetherlands1-1
  • 29 JunHParaguay1-1
  • 25 JunAEcuador1-2

Head to head

Last 4 meetings

1

Ecuador

0

Draws

3

Germany

  • 25 Jun 26Ecuador 2-1 Germany
  • 29 May 13Ecuador 2-4 Germany
  • 20 Jun 06Ecuador 0-3 Germany
  • 20 Jun 06Germany 3-0 Ecuador
Every meeting between these two →