Our pick
Over 2.5 Goals
xG
2.4 – 1.2
Over 2.5
70%
Both score
65%
The model projects 2.39 goals for Belgium and 1.23 for USA, giving 63% for the home win, 20% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Belgium
Above average
USA
Above average
6
Belgium
1
Draws
1
USA