Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.3 – 0.8
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
50%
The model makes Azerbaijan clear favourites at 71%, well above the 46% home-win norm in this competition. It projects 2.30 goals for Azerbaijan and 0.78 for San Marino, with 2-0 the most likely scoreline at 12%. Upsets are still possible, with an away win at 10%.
Azerbaijan
Average
San Marino
Weak
3
Azerbaijan
0
Draws
0
San Marino