Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
57%
The model projects 1.59 goals for Greece and 1.20 for Sweden, giving 46% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Greece
Above average
Sweden
Above average
2
Greece
3
Draws
2
Sweden