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Chad vs Mali prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Africa Cup of Nations QualifyingFull time

Chad

0-2

Sun, 17 Nov

Mali

Model's readN'Djamena
1 31%X 29%2 40%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

68.6%

xG

1.1 – 1.3

Over 2.5

44%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →
ChadDDLLL
MaliLDLDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Mali favoured at 40%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.13 goals for Chad and 1.30 for Mali, giving 31% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 40% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 1.13 - 1.30
  • Clean sheet chance: Chad 27%, Mali 32%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Chad v Mali

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Chad31.4%
Draw28.8%
Mali39.7%

Model rating

All ratings →
4.9

Chad

Average

5.6

Mali

Above average

ChadLast 10 gamesMali
0.40Points per game1.20
1.1Goals scored per game1.0
1.9Goals conceded per game0.9
70%Over 2.5 goals20%
80%Both teams scored50%
10%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score50%

Recent results

ChadDDLLL
  • 17 NovHMozambique2-2
  • 17 NovAMozambique2-2
  • 14 NovAUganda1-2
  • 12 OctHCentral African Republic2-3
  • 8 OctHMali0-2
  • 8 SeptAMadagascar1-3
MaliLDLDD
  • 4 JunAIran0-2
  • 31 MarARussia0-0
  • 9 JanHSenegal0-1
  • 3 JanHTunisia1-1
  • 29 DecAComoros0-0
  • 26 DecAMorocco1-1

Head to head

Last 6 meetings

0

Chad

0

Draws

6

Mali

  • 8 Oct 25Chad 0-2 Mali
  • 17 Nov 23Mali 3-1 Chad
  • 28 Mar 21Mali 3-0 Chad
  • 17 Nov 19Chad 0-2 Mali
  • 11 Oct 08Mali 2-1 Chad
Every meeting between these two →