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Mali vs Chad prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Africa Cup of Nations QualifyingFull time

Mali

3-0

Sun, 28 Mar

Chad

Model's readBamako
1 59%X 25%2 17%

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

73.3%

xG

1.7 – 0.8

Over 2.5

47%

Both score

47%

Form

Full stats →
MaliLDLDD
ChadDDLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Mali favoured at 59%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.75 goals for Mali and 0.82 for Chad, giving 59% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 17% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.75 - 0.82
  • Clean sheet chance: Mali 44%, Chad 17%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Mali v Chad

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Mali58.7%
Draw24.6%
Chad16.6%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.6

Mali

Above average

4.9

Chad

Average

MaliLast 10 gamesChad
1.20Points per game0.40
1.0Goals scored per game1.1
0.9Goals conceded per game1.9
20%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored80%
30%Clean sheets10%
50%Failed to score20%

Recent results

MaliLDLDD
  • 4 JunAIran0-2
  • 31 MarARussia0-0
  • 9 JanHSenegal0-1
  • 3 JanHTunisia1-1
  • 29 DecAComoros0-0
  • 26 DecAMorocco1-1
ChadDDLLL
  • 17 NovHMozambique2-2
  • 17 NovAMozambique2-2
  • 14 NovAUganda1-2
  • 12 OctHCentral African Republic2-3
  • 8 OctHMali0-2
  • 8 SeptAMadagascar1-3

Head to head

Last 6 meetings

6

Mali

0

Draws

0

Chad

  • 8 Oct 25Chad 0-2 Mali
  • 17 Nov 23Mali 3-1 Chad
  • 28 Mar 21Mali 3-0 Chad
  • 17 Nov 19Chad 0-2 Mali
  • 11 Oct 08Mali 2-1 Chad
Every meeting between these two →