Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
0.9 – 1.4
Over 2.5
41%
Both score
47%
The model projects 0.95 goals for Liechtenstein and 1.39 for Azerbaijan, giving 24% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 46% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Liechtenstein
Average
Azerbaijan
Average
1
Liechtenstein
2
Draws
3
Azerbaijan