Our pick Strong
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.5
41%
Both score
47%
The model projects 1.27 goals for South Korea and 1.03 for Ecuador, giving 41% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
South Korea
Above average
Ecuador
Above average
2
South Korea
0
Draws
1
Ecuador