Our pick Strong
Home or Away (12)
xG
2.0 – 1.1
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
58%
The model favours Bulgaria at home, with a 58% chance of a win against 19% for Moldova. Expected goals are 2.03 for Bulgaria and 1.08 for Moldova, and over 2.5 goals sits at 60%. These are model probabilities, not guarantees.
Bulgaria
Average
Moldova
Average
2
Bulgaria
1
Draws
0
Moldova