Roma vs Real Madrid prediction, UEFA Champions League
Our pick
Home or Away (12)
76.6%
xG
1.7 – 1.4
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
62%
Form
Full stats →
RomaDWDWW
Real MadridWLWWWMatch analysis
Model generatedRoma favoured at 44%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.68 goals for Roma and 1.42 for Real Madrid, giving 44% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 33% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.68 - 1.42
- Clean sheet chance: Roma 24%, Real Madrid 19%
Match result
1X2Roma43.8%
Draw23.4%
Real Madrid32.8%
RomaLast 10 gamesReal Madrid2.60Points per game2.40
2.6Goals scored per game2.5
0.6Goals conceded per game1.1
60%Over 2.5 goals80%
40%Both teams scored70%
60%Clean sheets20%
0%Failed to score10%
Recent results
UEFA Champions League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  Stuttgart | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Lens | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Liverpool | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Madrid | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Arsenal | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 | Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Villarreal | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |  Lille | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Atlético Madrid | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Porto | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 4 meetings0
Roma
0
Draws
4
Real Madrid
- 27 Nov 18Roma 0-2 Real Madrid
- 19 Sept 18Real Madrid 3-0 Roma
- 8 Mar 16Real Madrid 2-0 Roma
- 17 Feb 16Roma 0-2 Real Madrid