Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.0 – 0.7
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
45%
The model projects 2.00 goals for Mexico and 0.71 for Bolivia, giving 67% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 12% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Mexico
Average
Bolivia
Average
9
Mexico
1
Draws
0
Bolivia