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USA vs Mexico prediction, World Cup Qualifying CONCACAF

World Cup Qualifying CONCACAFFull time

USA

2-0

Sat, 3 Sept

Mexico

Model's readColumbus
1 49%X 25%2 26%

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

74.2%

xG

1.8 – 1.2

Over 2.5

58%

Both score

60%

Form

Full stats →
USAWWWWL
MexicoLLDDL

Match analysis

Model generated

USA favoured at 49%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.79 goals for USA and 1.24 for Mexico, giving 49% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3413 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
  • Expected goals: 1.79 - 1.24
  • Clean sheet chance: USA 29%, Mexico 17%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

USA v Mexico

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
USA49.2%
Draw24.9%
Mexico25.8%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.2

USA

Above average

5.3

Mexico

Average

USALast 10 gamesMexico
2.10Points per game1.70
2.5Goals scored per game1.5
1.4Goals conceded per game1.0
70%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored30%
40%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score20%

Recent results

USAWWWWL
  • 7 OctHCanada1-0
  • 4 OctHMexico3-0
  • 30 SeptHChile4-2
  • 26 SeptHPeru4-1
  • 6 JulHBelgium1-4
  • 1 JulHBosnia-Herzegovina2-0
MexicoLLDDL
  • 7 OctHChile0-2
  • 4 OctAUSA0-3
  • 30 SeptHPeru1-1
  • 27 SeptHColombia1-1
  • 5 JulHEngland2-3
  • 30 JunHEcuador2-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

3

USA

2

Draws

5

Mexico

  • 4 Oct 26USA 3-0 Mexico
  • 6 Jul 25USA 1-2 Mexico
  • 15 Oct 24Mexico 2-0 USA
  • 19 Apr 23USA 1-1 Mexico
  • 24 Mar 22Mexico 0-0 USA
Every meeting between these two →