Ecuador vs Germany prediction, International Friendlies
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
71.4%
xG
1.1 – 1.4
Over 2.5
44%
Both score
50%
Form
Full stats →
EcuadorLLWDL
GermanyDWLDDMatch analysis
Model generatedGermany favoured at 42%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.07 goals for Ecuador and 1.36 for Germany, giving 29% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 42% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.07 - 1.36
- Clean sheet chance: Ecuador 26%, Germany 34%
Match result
1X2Ecuador28.6%
Draw29.1%
Germany42.3%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Ecuador
Above average
5.6
Germany
Above average
EcuadorLast 10 gamesGermany1.50Points per game1.80
1.1Goals scored per game2.0
1.0Goals conceded per game0.8
40%Over 2.5 goals50%
40%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 4 meetings1
Ecuador
0
Draws
3
Germany
- 25 Jun 26Ecuador 2-1 Germany
- 29 May 13Ecuador 2-4 Germany
- 20 Jun 06Ecuador 0-3 Germany
- 20 Jun 06Germany 3-0 Ecuador