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Portugal vs Denmark prediction, UEFA European Championship Qualifying

UEFA European Championship QualifyingFull time

Portugal

1-0

Thu, 8 Oct

Denmark

Model's readBraga
1 57%X 23%2 20%

Our pick

Home or Away (12)

76.6%

xG

2.0 – 1.1

Over 2.5

59%

Both score

58%

Form

Full stats →
PortugalWWWWL
DenmarkWLWLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Portugal favoured at 57%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.98 goals for Portugal and 1.09 for Denmark, giving 57% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 20% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
  • Expected goals: 1.98 - 1.09
  • Clean sheet chance: Portugal 33%, Denmark 14%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Portugal v Denmark

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Portugal57.0%
Draw23.4%
Denmark19.6%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.8

Portugal

Above average

5.7

Denmark

Above average

PortugalLast 10 gamesDenmark
2.30Points per game1.50
1.9Goals scored per game1.9
0.8Goals conceded per game1.6
60%Over 2.5 goals70%
60%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets40%
20%Failed to score10%

Recent results

PortugalWWWWL
  • 4 OctHNorway2-1
  • 1 OctADenmark4-2
  • 27 SeptANorway2-1
  • 24 SeptHWales1-0
  • 6 JulHSpain0-1
  • 2 JulHCroatia2-1
DenmarkWLWLW
  • 4 OctAWales1-0
  • 1 OctHPortugal2-4
  • 27 SeptHWales2-0
  • 24 SeptANorway2-3
  • 7 JunHUkraine2-1
  • 3 JunADR Congo0-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

6

Portugal

1

Draws

3

Denmark

  • 1 Oct 26Denmark 2-4 Portugal
  • 23 Mar 25Portugal 5-2 Denmark
  • 20 Mar 25Denmark 1-0 Portugal
  • 8 Oct 15Portugal 1-0 Denmark
  • 14 Oct 14Denmark 0-1 Portugal
Every meeting between these two →