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Mali vs Morocco prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Africa Cup of Nations QualifyingFull time

Mali

2-1

Sun, 4 Oct

Morocco

Model's readBamako
1 22%X 29%2 49%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

77.6%

xG

0.9 – 1.4

Over 2.5

40%

Both score

45%

Form

Full stats →
MaliLDLDD
MoroccoLWDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Morocco favoured at 49%, in a middling game

The model projects 0.87 goals for Mali and 1.41 for Morocco, giving 22% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 49% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 0.87 - 1.41
  • Clean sheet chance: Mali 24%, Morocco 42%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Mali v Morocco

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Mali22.4%
Draw28.7%
Morocco48.9%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.6

Mali

Above average

6.2

Morocco

Above average

MaliLast 10 gamesMorocco
1.20Points per game2.10
1.0Goals scored per game2.2
0.9Goals conceded per game0.8
20%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets40%
50%Failed to score10%

Recent results

MaliLDLDD
  • 4 JunAIran0-2
  • 31 MarARussia0-0
  • 9 JanHSenegal0-1
  • 3 JanHTunisia1-1
  • 29 DecAComoros0-0
  • 26 DecAMorocco1-1
MoroccoLWDWW
  • 9 JulAFrance0-2
  • 4 JulACanada3-0
  • 29 JunANetherlands1-1
  • 24 JunHHaiti4-2
  • 19 JunAScotland1-0
  • 13 JunABrazil1-1

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

4

Mali

3

Draws

3

Morocco

  • 26 Dec 25Morocco 1-1 Mali
  • 5 Sept 17Mali 0-0 Morocco
  • 1 Sept 17Morocco 6-0 Mali
  • 28 May 06Morocco 0-1 Mali
  • 28 May 04Mali 0-0 Morocco
Every meeting between these two →