Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.5
39%
Both score
46%
The model's best selection is Away or Draw (X2) at 66%, well above the 52% norm for this competition. Expected goals are close, at 1.10 for Luxembourg and 1.14 for Albania, so the home win is only 34%. Treat this as a probability, not a sure thing.
Luxembourg
Average
Albania
Above average
3
Luxembourg
1
Draws
4
Albania