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Greece vs Germany prediction, World Cup Qualifying UEFA

World Cup Qualifying UEFAFull time

Greece

2-4

Wed, 28 Mar

Germany

Model's readAthens
1 32%X 29%2 39%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

68.0%

xG

1.2 – 1.4

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →
GreeceDDWWL
GermanyDWLDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Germany favoured at 39%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.21 goals for Greece and 1.37 for Germany, giving 32% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 39% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 1.21 - 1.37
  • Clean sheet chance: Greece 25%, Germany 30%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Greece v Germany

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Greece32.0%
Draw28.7%
Germany39.4%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.5

Greece

Above average

5.6

Germany

Above average

GreeceLast 10 gamesGermany
1.40Points per game1.80
1.0Goals scored per game2.0
0.9Goals conceded per game0.8
40%Over 2.5 goals50%
40%Both teams scored60%
40%Clean sheets30%
50%Failed to score20%

Recent results

GreeceDDWWL
  • 4 OctHGermany0-0
  • 1 OctHNetherlands2-2
  • 27 SeptAGermany1-0
  • 24 SeptASerbia2-1
  • 7 JunHItaly0-1
  • 4 JunASweden2-2
GermanyDWLDD
  • 4 OctAGreece0-0
  • 1 OctHSerbia2-0
  • 27 SeptHGreece0-1
  • 24 SeptANetherlands1-1
  • 29 JunHParaguay1-1
  • 25 JunAEcuador1-2

Head to head

Last 6 meetings

1

Greece

1

Draws

4

Germany

  • 4 Oct 26Greece 0-0 Germany
  • 27 Sept 26Germany 0-1 Greece
  • 7 Jun 24Germany 2-1 Greece
  • 22 Jun 12Germany 4-2 Greece
  • 28 Mar 01Greece 2-4 Germany
Every meeting between these two →