Our pick
Home Win
xG
1.8 – 0.7
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
43%
The model projects 1.84 goals for Morocco and 0.69 for Mali, giving 64% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 13% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Morocco
Above average
Mali
Above average
3
Morocco
3
Draws
4
Mali