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Mali vs Senegal prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF

World Cup Qualifying CAFFull time

Mali

2-2

Sun, 5 Sept

Senegal

Model's readBamako
1 31%X 28%2 42%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

69.3%

xG

1.2 – 1.4

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →
MaliLDLDD
SenegalWLWLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Senegal favoured at 42%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.18 goals for Mali and 1.41 for Senegal, giving 31% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 42% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.18 - 1.41
  • Clean sheet chance: Mali 24%, Senegal 31%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Mali v Senegal

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Mali30.7%
Draw27.7%
Senegal41.5%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.6

Mali

Above average

6.0

Senegal

Above average

MaliLast 10 gamesSenegal
1.20Points per game1.30
1.0Goals scored per game1.8
0.9Goals conceded per game1.6
20%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets40%
50%Failed to score20%

Recent results

MaliLDLDD
  • 4 JunAIran0-2
  • 31 MarARussia0-0
  • 9 JanHSenegal0-1
  • 3 JanHTunisia1-1
  • 29 DecAComoros0-0
  • 26 DecAMorocco1-1
SenegalWLWLL
  • 4 OctAComoros1-0
  • 1 JulABelgium2-3
  • 26 JunHIraq5-0
  • 22 JunANorway2-3
  • 16 JunAFrance1-3
  • 9 JunASaudi Arabia0-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

0

Mali

4

Draws

6

Senegal

  • 9 Jan 26Mali 0-1 Senegal
  • 26 Mar 19Senegal 2-1 Mali
  • 5 Mar 14Mali 1-1 Senegal
  • 17 Nov 07Senegal 3-2 Mali
  • 8 Oct 05Senegal 3-0 Mali
Every meeting between these two →