Lesotho vs Malawi prediction, International Friendlies
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
75.9%
xG
1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
52%
Form
Full stats →
LesothoLDLDW
MalawiLDLLWMatch analysis
Model generatedLesotho favoured at 38%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.30 goals for Lesotho and 1.20 for Malawi, giving 38% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 33% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.30 - 1.20
- Clean sheet chance: Lesotho 30%, Malawi 27%
Match result
1X2Lesotho37.9%
Draw29.1%
Malawi33.1%
Model rating
All ratings →5.0
Lesotho
Average
4.9
Malawi
Average
LesothoLast 10 gamesMalawi0.60Points per game1.20
0.4Goals scored per game1.0
1.9Goals conceded per game1.0
50%Over 2.5 goals40%
30%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets30%
60%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 6 meetings0
Lesotho
5
Draws
1
Malawi
- 18 Nov 25Lesotho 0-1 Malawi
- 15 Nov 25Lesotho 0-0 Malawi
- 25 Feb 23Malawi 1-1 Lesotho
- 13 Oct 19Lesotho 1-1 Malawi
- 11 Nov 17Malawi 1-1 Lesotho